U.S. RPA Market Forecast at 26.88% CAGR Demands a Methodology Check Before You Cite It

IMARC Group’s updated U.S. RPA market report projects growth from $1.6B in 2025 to $15.1B by 2034 — a nearly 10x expansion that will circulate through board decks and procurement justifications within weeks, and deserves scrutiny before it shapes your capital allocation.

The number itself is directionally plausible. Enterprise automation spending has accelerated post-pandemic, and RPA vendors including UiPath and Automation Anywhere have reported sustained double-digit revenue growth. But IMARC is a 97-person consulting firm founded in 2010, headquartered in Noida, India, with no disclosed primary research methodology, no named analyst team on this report, and a distribution model that prices certain robotics titles as low as $1,000–$2,500 through ASDReports — a pricing tier inconsistent with rigorous primary survey work. The firm’s simultaneous release of at least five robotics-adjacent reports on March 9, 2026 — covering U.S. robotics, U.S. industrial robotics, robot software, AMRs, and RPA in a single day — raises further questions about research depth versus templated synthesis. For comparison, IMARC’s own U.S. Robotics market report (also released March 9) pegs that broader market at $13.6B in 2025 growing to only $19.2B by 2034 at 3.88% CAGR — meaning IMARC is forecasting the RPA sub-segment alone to nearly match the entire U.S. robotics market by 2034. That internal tension warrants explanation that the public report summary does not provide.

The practical risk for robotics.press readers is not that IMARC published this figure — it’s that the $15.1B / 26.88% CAGR number will be laundered through secondary citations into RFPs, investment memos, and Congressional budget justifications without the caveat that no methodology transparency exists. Defense program managers evaluating software automation investments and investors sizing RPA-adjacent positions should note that Gartner and Forrester publish competing RPA forecasts with disclosed survey bases and analyst attribution — those should be the triangulation points before this figure is used in any high-consequence document. IMARC’s CEO Patrick McPhail leads a firm with genuine distribution reach (MarketResearch.com and ASDReports partnerships extend its syndicated products to corporate intelligence buyers), but reach is not the same as rigor.

BOTTOM LINE

Before citing the $15.1B RPA figure in any procurement justification or investment thesis, pull the Gartner or Forrester equivalent and document the methodology gap — if you’re the one who introduced an unsourced forecast into a capital decision, you own the downside.

Confidence: MODERATE — The CAGR and absolute figures are reported directly from IMARC’s published summary, but the absence of disclosed methodology means the analytical validity of the underlying forecast cannot be independently assessed.

Source: https://www.imarcgroup.com/united-states-robotic-process-automation-market

Signal Activity — IMARC Group

Competitive Positioning — IMARC Group